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← Back to trade feedTrade journal · Apr 4, 2025

T LONG

Taken with the Mean Reversion — US Large Cap strategy.

mean-reversion-equitiesmedium risk400 shares
$20.18
Entry price
$19.92
Exit price
-$104
Realized P&L
-1.3%
Return
Not financial advice
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Why this trade was taken
The automated trader's reasoning

On Apr 4, 2025, the automated trader took a long position in T at $20.18 (400 shares), applying the Mean Reversion — US Large Cap strategy. The thesis: fade short-term dislocations in liquid large-cap names using bollinger confluence.

The setup triggered because Mean Reversion — US Large Cap demands specific entry conditions — close >2σ below the 20-day sma on the daily chart.; rsi(14) < 30 for two consecutive sessions.; stock is in the s&p 500 with adv > 5m shares.. T met these checks, so the system sized the position at 400 shares, risking at most 2.0% of account equity.

The broader context: Buys S&P 500 constituents that have stretched >2 standard deviations below their 20-day mean while maintaining a positive fundamental backdrop. Exits on reversion to the VWAP or a fresh volatility expansion. Designed for ranging or mildly bullish regimes. A long entry here was a bet that the setup would resolve in the trader's favor before the time-based exit.

Risk was managed with a hard stop at −5.0% of entry and a profit target at +6.0%. Price reverts to the 20-day SMA.; Stop-loss triggered at 1.5× the 20-day ATR..

The trade closed on Apr 11, 2025 at $19.92 after 7 days, for a realized P&L of -$104 (-1.29%). The thesis did not play out: the stop or time-based exit triggered before the setup could resolve favorably.

Educational takeaway: Mean Reversion — US Large Cap trades this exact setup repeatedly — the edge comes from disciplined execution of the same rules, not from any single trade's outcome. Over 412 historical trades the strategy has won 61% of the time with a 9.2% max drawdown. No single trade is representative; the sample is what matters.

Strategy rules — Mean Reversion — US Large Cap
The conditions that triggered this trade
Entry conditions
  1. Close >2σ below the 20-day SMA on the daily chart.
  2. RSI(14) < 30 for two consecutive sessions.
  3. Stock is in the S&P 500 with ADV > 5M shares.
  4. No earnings within 5 trading days.
Exit conditions
  1. Price reverts to the 20-day SMA.
  2. Stop-loss triggered at 1.5× the 20-day ATR.
  3. Time-based exit after 10 trading days.
Position details
Position size
400
Notional value
$8,072
Entered
Apr 4, 2025
Exited
Apr 11, 2025
Risk parameters
Max risk
2.0%
Stop loss
5.0%
Take profit
+6.0%