SMCI LONG
Taken with the Momentum Breakout — Growth Equities strategy.
On Feb 11, 2025, the automated trader took a long position in SMCI at $41.20 (180 shares), applying the Momentum Breakout — Growth Equities strategy. The thesis: ride continuation moves after structural breakouts in high-beta growth names.
The setup triggered because Momentum Breakout — Growth Equities demands specific entry conditions — daily close above a 6-week flat-base or cup-and-handle resistance.; volume on breakout day ≥ 150% of 50-day average.; relative strength vs. spy in the top quartile over 60 days.. SMCI met these checks, so the system sized the position at 180 shares, risking at most 1.5% of account equity.
The broader context: Enters on a validated breakout from a multi-week base with volume confirmation. The thesis is that institutional accumulation drives multi-day follow-through; we harvest 3-8 day moves and trail with a volatility-aware stop. A long entry here was a bet that the setup would resolve in the trader's favor before the time-based exit.
Risk was managed with a hard stop at −8.0% of entry and a profit target at +20.0%. Trailing stop at 2× ATR(14) from the highest close.; Profit target at measured-move projection..
The trade closed on Feb 19, 2025 at $56.80 after 8 days, for a realized P&L of +$2,808 (+37.86%). The thesis played out: the exit rules fired as the setup resolved in the trader's favor.
Educational takeaway: Momentum Breakout — Growth Equities trades this exact setup repeatedly — the edge comes from disciplined execution of the same rules, not from any single trade's outcome. Over 198 historical trades the strategy has won 44% of the time with a 24.1% max drawdown. No single trade is representative; the sample is what matters.
- Daily close above a 6-week flat-base or cup-and-handle resistance.
- Volume on breakout day ≥ 150% of 50-day average.
- Relative strength vs. SPY in the top quartile over 60 days.
- Trailing stop at 2× ATR(14) from the highest close.
- Profit target at measured-move projection.
- Hard exit if the breakout is reclaimed (close back below resistance).