Skip to main content
← Back to trade feedTrade journal · Mar 12, 2025

6E=F SHORT

Taken with the Macro Trend — Futures CTA strategy. EUR/USD short via 6E; 2 contracts.

macro-trend-futuresmedium risk2 shares
$1.08
Entry price
$1.07
Exit price
+$3,175
Realized P&L
1.2%
Return
Not financial advice
All content on TrendForge is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing here is a recommendation, solicitation, or personalized financial advice. Markets carry risk — you can lose money. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional before acting.
Why this trade was taken
The automated trader's reasoning

On Mar 12, 2025, the automated trader took a short position in 6E=F at $1.08 (2 shares), applying the Macro Trend — Futures CTA strategy. The thesis: EUR/USD short via 6E; 2 contracts.

The setup triggered because Macro Trend — Futures CTA demands specific entry conditions — close above 20-day donchian channel high.; trades in the direction of the 50/200 sma cross.; atr-normalized risk per unit ≤ 0.5% of equity.. 6E=F met these checks, so the system sized the position at 2 shares, risking at most 0.5% of account equity.

The broader context: A diversified trend-following book in 24 highly-liquid futures markets. Enters on 20-day breakouts, exits on 10-day breakouts against position. Allocates equal risk across markets and sizes by inverse volatility to keep heat constant. A short entry here was a bet that downside would continue before the thesis invalidated.

Risk was managed with a hard stop at −4.0% of entry and a profit target at +0.0%. Close below 10-day Donchian channel low.; Volatility expansion doubles the stop (re-size, not exit)..

The trade closed on Mar 28, 2025 at $1.07 after 16 days, for a realized P&L of +$3,175 (+1.17%). The thesis played out: the exit rules fired as the setup resolved in the trader's favor.

Educational takeaway: Macro Trend — Futures CTA trades this exact setup repeatedly — the edge comes from disciplined execution of the same rules, not from any single trade's outcome. Over 1543 historical trades the strategy has won 38% of the time with a 16.5% max drawdown. No single trade is representative; the sample is what matters.

Strategy rules — Macro Trend — Futures CTA
The conditions that triggered this trade
Entry conditions
  1. Close above 20-day Donchian channel high.
  2. Trades in the direction of the 50/200 SMA cross.
  3. ATR-normalized risk per unit ≤ 0.5% of equity.
Exit conditions
  1. Close below 10-day Donchian channel low.
  2. Volatility expansion doubles the stop (re-size, not exit).
Position details
Position size
2
Notional value
$2.17
Entered
Mar 12, 2025
Exited
Mar 28, 2025
Risk parameters
Max risk
0.5%
Stop loss
4.0%
Take profit
+0.0%
Related trades
Same strategy or ticker