6E=F SHORT
Taken with the Macro Trend — Futures CTA strategy. EUR/USD short via 6E; 2 contracts.
On Mar 12, 2025, the automated trader took a short position in 6E=F at $1.08 (2 shares), applying the Macro Trend — Futures CTA strategy. The thesis: EUR/USD short via 6E; 2 contracts.
The setup triggered because Macro Trend — Futures CTA demands specific entry conditions — close above 20-day donchian channel high.; trades in the direction of the 50/200 sma cross.; atr-normalized risk per unit ≤ 0.5% of equity.. 6E=F met these checks, so the system sized the position at 2 shares, risking at most 0.5% of account equity.
The broader context: A diversified trend-following book in 24 highly-liquid futures markets. Enters on 20-day breakouts, exits on 10-day breakouts against position. Allocates equal risk across markets and sizes by inverse volatility to keep heat constant. A short entry here was a bet that downside would continue before the thesis invalidated.
Risk was managed with a hard stop at −4.0% of entry and a profit target at +0.0%. Close below 10-day Donchian channel low.; Volatility expansion doubles the stop (re-size, not exit)..
The trade closed on Mar 28, 2025 at $1.07 after 16 days, for a realized P&L of +$3,175 (+1.17%). The thesis played out: the exit rules fired as the setup resolved in the trader's favor.
Educational takeaway: Macro Trend — Futures CTA trades this exact setup repeatedly — the edge comes from disciplined execution of the same rules, not from any single trade's outcome. Over 1543 historical trades the strategy has won 38% of the time with a 16.5% max drawdown. No single trade is representative; the sample is what matters.
- Close above 20-day Donchian channel high.
- Trades in the direction of the 50/200 SMA cross.
- ATR-normalized risk per unit ≤ 0.5% of equity.
- Close below 10-day Donchian channel low.
- Volatility expansion doubles the stop (re-size, not exit).